No. 1 seed vs. No. 2 seed?

Click here for the latest “if the season ended today” postseason matchup bracket.

There seems to be some debate over the merits of the Reds getting a No. 1 seed vs. a No. 2 seed because of the unique playoff format in the NLDS where the team with home field advantage gets Game 3, 4 and 5 and the lesser seed opens with Games 1 and 2.

*If the Reds finish with the No. 2 seed, they would likely end the season in St. Louis and fly directly to San Francisco to meet the No. 3 seed Giants on Saturday, Oct. 6. AT&T Park will be packed with Giants fans and a great homefield advantage for the Giants. (Update: Facing Cain, Bumgarner or Lincecum there would be no picnic either)…The Reds split a four-game series there in July.

*If the Reds get the No. 1 seed, they would fly home and await the winner of the Wild Card game — after possibly waiting out some tiebreaker game(s) for teams to get into the Wild Card round. So there is less opponent certainty there. They could fly to either Atlanta, St. Louis, Los Angeles, Philadelphia or Milwaukee.

Click here for Mark Clements’ Saturday story that offers more detail on possible opponents.

In the short view, the No. 1 seed doesn’t seem to be a much better perk over the No. 2 seed. On the other hand, the Reds have advance scouts watching all of the potential opponents so it’s not like the club won’t be prepared for any contingency. And it’s possible the Wild Card round winner might have used up their best starting pitcher(s) and worn out its bullpen just to advance to the NLDS.

Regardless, the Reds should have inner-confidence that it can beat any opponent in any situation.

In the long view, the top seed is best because that would give the Reds home-field advantage for the NLCS over any opponent in the best-of-seven series.

No matter what seed the Reds get, they would have home field advantage if they reach the World Series because the NL won the All-Star game.

So what would you rather see the Reds get — No. 1 seed or No. 2 seed?

10 Comments

To begin with I would hate to see Philly in the playoffs. If they are in the playoffs I would prefer the Reds would be #2 seed. If Philly doesn’t make it I say I’d prefer the Reds be #1.Philly is getting healthy again and they could be tough to beat. It wouldn’t surprise me if Milwaukee makes the playoff with Atlanta. .

For the #1 seed to begin on the road seems odd. What good is home field advantage if you come home down 0-2? I agree with Mark that the Reds should have confidence that they can beat any team, but then again, like Shoey said above, facing the Phillies in round 1 might have some mental hex attached to it. Why not just play your best ball for the next 10 days, and see how the chips fall.

lets go nats

I vote for #1 seed. Pitching match-ups in the 5-game, home field in the NLCS. Catch the Nats!

I thik it would be foolish to not want the #1 seed. Get the other teams #1 starter out of the way in that wildcard game. Then have them come start our series with there #2 vs our #1.

Hey mark,

I want to thank you for your wonderful coverage this year. Everything has been superb as usual and enjoy reading everyday whether it be the blog or your pieces on the main page. I have worked in media before for a reds affiliate so I understand the pressure to perform in this kind of business. Its something people like beefcake wouldn’t understand. He’s probably pumping feces out of a port a john as I write this or handing out slurpies at the 711 in norwood. Just continue to do your job mark and true reds fan that understand the business will continue to cherish and appreciate your coverage of this magical season.

Thanks again And go reds!

Justin from indiana

Justin, what part of Indiana? I’m from up North in the Valparaiso area….

baseball needs to fix this mess next year , but I think the reds are better off knowing who they are going to play so they can prepare right now. #2 Seed actually seems like the better option and Latos dominates San Fran.

Latos is dominating just about everybody right now…..He has top 5 stuff in baseball IMO.

I agree Mike. He is our ace for the second half. Cueto may be our number three right now. Yes he pitched decent his last two outings but his control is off, his strikeouts are down and his pitches are up. Right now I would probably pick Arroyo as our #2 and Cueto #3 both behind Latos. Bailey can be dominant at time but just like his last outing it seems like he always has one inning that he shoots himself in the foot.

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