Bill James on 2010 Reds

The Bill James Handbook 2010 is out and the respected baseball statistician has his Reds forecast for key hitters and pitchers.

Key Reds Hitters (by OPS)
Player        At-bats  R  HR RBI  SB  Avg. OPS
Joey Votto  502  80 27  90 7  .311 .947
Jay Bruce   574  92  38  95  10  .274 .877
Todd Frazier 507  61 17  69  9 .278 .807
B. Phillips   613  85  21  81  22  .269 .756
Drew Stubbs 544  76 11  51  51 .267 .726

Notice the No. 3 guy on the list — James thinks very highly of prospect Todd Frazier. The infielder/outfielder could be an interesting subplot when Spring Training gets here.

Key Reds Pitchers (by ERA)
Player                IP  W L K  SV    ERA
Bronson Arroyo 210  11  12 144 0 4.11
Aaron Harang 211  11 12 179  0 4.18
Johnny Cueto 174 9  10 155  0 4.40

1 Comment

Regarding Frazier, he’s had no major league ab’s, am I right? Wouldn’t 574, 507 and 544 ab’s require playing everyday? Meaning, is BJ really projecting a starting outfield of Bruce, Stubbs and Frazier? Really? Or is he looking at Frazier at 2B and Phillips moved to SS? Is it time to try trading Dickerson? Or has he got little to no value? Enquiring minds want to know!

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