Hernandez hurting

The disabled list has become a crowded space on the Reds roster and the club is hoping that it’s not about to add another wounded party.

Catcher Ramon Hernandez has been bothered by a sore left knee and went for a MRI exam on Saturday. He’s missed the last two games and wasn’t starting on Sunday.

“I’ve had this for two months,” Hernandez said on Sunday morning. “I’ve been trying to play and gut it out and do what’s best. I’m trying to help and do what I can to play. Now it’s gotten worse.”

During a plate at the plate as he tried to score on Thursday, Hernandez was unable to slide and was easily thrown out.

“I slid in New York during the day game and it hurt so bad,” Hernandez said. “If I slid here, I didn’t know what was going to happen.”

If Hernandez went on the DL, Ryan Hanigan would obviously take over the starting job. The Reds recently traded for catcher Corky Miller in the deal that sent Norris Hopper to the White Sox. Miller is at Triple-A Louisville and would be the likely call-up.

“It’s not exactly how we planned it,” manager Dusty Baker said of Hernandez. “We hope it’s day to day. It’s not good.”

On top of the knee issue, Hernandez has also been nagged by a sore left hand for several weeks.

“It’s been better,” he said. “I’ve had some cortisone shots on it.”

Someone asked Hernandez if his mother ever told him not be a catcher.

“I told myself too. In the next life, I’ll be an outfielder or play soccer.”

It’s not like there was a need for more injury news but Baker also had another concern. OF Laynce Nix reported having a tight back and was receiving treatment. His status wasn’t known.

On the positive side, SS Alex Gonzalez left today for a rehab assignment at Louisville. If all goes as planned, Gonzalez, who had arthroscopic surgery on his right elbow June 22, will meet the Reds in Chicago during Thursday’s off day and be activated on Friday.

Opening Day roster players currently on the DL: Jay Bruce (broken wrist), Gonzalez, Edinson Volquez (tendinitis) and Mike Lincoln (bulging disc in neck).

Others on DL: Wilkin Castillo, Danny Richar 

Reds lineup:

Taveras 8
Hairston 6
Votto 3
Phillips 4
Encarnacion 5
Dickerson 7
Gomes  9
Hanigan 2
Cueto 1

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Sad to here about Ramon hurting but finally the better player is getting to start. I love my Reds even if the stink as bad as they are now. I had high hopes at the beginning of the season. Oh well just another typical year. Go Reds!

Why oh why Jonny Cueto would you throw anything in the strike zone to Prince Fielder with one on and two out and you have a lead? Arggg!!! If I was pitching i’d force him to hit a ball off of the dirt or high and tight every single atbat.

Just as important a question: why did Cueto throw so softly to 2B on Braun grounder? (which Hairston didn’t really catch but got the out) Cueto cost himself the inning-ending double play and wouldn’t have had to deal with Fielder.

I’m starting to wonder if Cueto isn’t hurt and doesn’t want to tell anyone about it. He’s not throwing the same as he did the first two months of the season.

I hope that the pull Jonny after 5 innings no matter what the score is.

why is cueto still out there in the 7th?


To show how much more important on-base-percentage (OBP) is than the much talked about average with runners-in-scoring-position (RISP) here are the latest standings in MLB.

Here are the top five teams in MLB in RISP. In parenthesis is their ranking in runs scored, which is really the most important bottom line statistic.

1. Baltimore Orioles (16th)
2. LA Angels (3rd)
3. NY Mets (21st)
4. Boston Red Sox (4th)
5. Chicago White Sox (13th)

So you can see that RISP – average with runners in scoring position – is very poorly correlated with runs scored. So the obsession on RISP by those in the media (and some managers, like Dusty Baker) is completely misplaced.

Compare that to these numbers for OBP:

1. NY Yankees (1st in runs)
2. Tampa Bay Rays (2nd in runs)
3. LA Dodgers (8th in runs)
4. LA Angels (3rd in runs)
5. Boston Red Sox (4th in runs)

As you can see, OBP is extremely tightly correlated with runs scored. That argues for putting a premium on players with a high OBP in the lineup, which is something Dusty Baker seems reluctant to do.

BTW, the Reds are 24th in OBP, and 27th in runs scored.

good observation spmancuso. I am surprised that our OBP is 24th, I would have thought us dead last. I know we must be near the bottom in RISP is well seeing as how we rarely even get to second base despite all the supposed speed in the lineup.
Today was a most excellent win for the Reds. Glad to see Gomes come through when given the chance to play full time. I wonder if he goes to the bench again when he’s the hottest hitter in the lineup (Dusty sat him in May when he was batting .350).

Nice stats analysis, SP. In a way, it’s counterintuitive, but your presentation is very persuasive. If correct, Adam Dunn should be our starting left fielder. Now — what do the Reds do in La-La-land and the Windy City to rekindle our hope? It was very interesting to listen to the radio over the weekend – the commentators and callers were split down the middle between ‘You don’t get to choose what year you contend – the Reds gotta go for it now (and make a big trade or two)’ and “Don’t mortgage the future for a chance to finish 2nd in the division and third in the wild card (by making a big trade or two).’ I can’t remember a year, even in the awful eighties, when it came down so close right to the trading deadline.

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