Progress of Reds No. 1 picks

While I was dutifully following the MLB Draft Tracker today for later round Reds picks, Jamie Ramsey of the Reds sent an email detailing the progress of the past five Reds first-round picks (not counting 2009 selection RHP Mike Leake)

2008: 1B Yonder Alonso, 22, (AA-Carolina) overall this season is batting .285 with 7 HR and 41 RBI in 56 games with AA-Carolina and A-Sarasota…this is his first full pro season.

2007: C Devin Mesoraco, 20, (A-Sarasota) batting .211 with 4 HR and 18 RBI in 46 games this season with A-Sarasota.

2006: OF Drew Stubbs, 24, (AAA-Louisville) batting .291 with 2 HR, 19 RBI, 21 R and 19 SB this season with Louisville.

2005: OF Jay Bruce, 23, is the Reds starting right fielder.

2004: RHP Homer Bailey, 23, (AAA-Louisville) twice this season was named International League Pitcher of the Week…has made 18 Major League starts.

Are you happy with the Reds recent string of Reds first-round picks? Taking Jamie’s work a step further, here are some of the other previous Reds first-rounders that were flops:

2003: RHP Ryan Wagner (retired a few weeks ago)

2002: RHP Chris Gruler (injured and out of baseball without reaching MLB)

2001: LHP Jeremy Sowers (did not sign, re-drafted by Indians in 2004)

2000: SS David Espinosa (never reached MLB, in independent ball in 2008)


It looks like (based on the pattern above) it should be 4 years before Devin hits the MLB if at all. Everyone else from 2004 forward should be with the Reds (or another MLB team) by 2011.

Which GM drafted Bailey? Was it O’Brien? I forget when leather pants was let go.

This served as a reminder to me that Stubbs needs to get a shot. If Willy T takes to long to get over his recent struggles I wouldn’t mind seeing Stubbs take his spot for a bit. I saw that Stubbs has 19 steals. How would you (Mark or any informed commenters) rate his potential to steal bases and leadoff in the majors?

I am not informed by any stretch, but I did check the Louisville box scores, and Mr. Stubbs has batted second, fifth and sixth, but not lead off. On the other hand, his on-base is .379, which is lead-off high. Let’s see what the experts think. On last night’s broadcast, M & J discussed at length the likelihood of Dickerson taking Taveras’ spot in the field, if not batting lead off. They were impressed with how well he’s fielded in center, and lately, he’s been hitting.

Stubbs needs to play everyday down in Louisville for a bit. He will be brought up when they expand the roster late in the year, but for now he needs reps.
Stubbs is very capable of being a leadoff guy. He’s got speed and will likely hit for a lot better average then Tavares or Dickerson. I would assume that he’ll make the team next year and will probably take away playing time from Tavares whom is signed through next season.

We need some hitting.

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